Shanxi Chongde Ronghai – Dalian Kewei

Model: TIPPSH

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Dalian Kewei

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.65
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 08, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 18h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.08% · n=28
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shanxi Chongde Ronghai. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

68/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.65Now
Max odds3.70Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shanxi Chongde RonghaiHOME
VS
Dalian KeweiAWAY
WWLWD
Recent form
LWWDW
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.60
Shots on target for
4.40
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
2.60
Home splitW-W-W-D-L2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-D-L0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.65. The V2 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.08% based on n=28 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.65
V2 BandELITEROI 8.08% · n=28
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Shanxi Chongde Ronghai as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -36.8% 7D: 13.3% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 14.0%
Model insight

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai – Dalian Kewei Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 8.08% across 28 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample2
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-2.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCriciuma U20 - Palmeiras U203.5813.35%
LOSSDimas Escazu (W) - Saprissa (W)3.6712.25%
Pick
1 @ 3.65
Kickoff
Lug 08, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.08% • n=28
Start
Started 18h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 20h 21m ago
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