Essendon Royals vs Altona City
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Essendon Royals. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Essendon RoyalsGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.013 | A: -0.078Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Victoria Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Essendon Royals, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Essendon Royals's attacking profile.
Essendon Royals – Altona City Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Atletico Barinas - Real Frontera | 1.53 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Rayon Sports FC - Tusker | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Cagliari - Modena | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Al Nejmeh - Al Ahed | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Ivory Coast U20 - Benin U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | GrIFK Reservi - EPS Reservi | 1.55 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Goztepe - NK Rudes | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | CD FAS Reserves - Municipal Limeno Reserves | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPJ/Lauttasaari - LPS Helsinki | 1 | 1.55 | -1.89% | 30 Jul 19:00 |
| North Star - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.73 | -3.82% | 31 Jul 12:30 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt (W) - Strasbourg (W) | 1 | 1.53 | -3.82% | 31 Jul 17:00 |
| Valerenga - Ham-Kam | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| St Patricks - Derry City | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 20:45 |
| Næsby - Sundby | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 01 Aug 14:00 |
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani | 1 | 1.60 | -3.38% | 01 Aug 18:00 |