Model: TipA1

Estudiantes Merida vs UCV

PREDICTION

@ 2.80

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 04, 2026 2:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 2h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 22m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UCV. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UCVGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.005 | A: -0.116

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Estudiantes MeridaHOME

UCVAWAY

WDWLW

Recent form

WLLLW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.40

Shots on target for

3.80

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

3.40

Home splitD-W-W-L-L0.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-W0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.80. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.52% based on n=654 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Primera Division (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -12.6% 7D: -10.5% 15D: 9.7% 30D: 3.3%

Model insight

Estudiantes Merida – UCV Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.52% across 654 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample168

Win Rate34.5%

Profit-4.54u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FK Vora - FK Egnatia	2.55	6.36%
WIN	Montevideo Wanderers Reserves - Torque Reserves	2.90	5.52%
LOSS	Spennymoor Town - Hednesford	2.90	5.52%
LOSS	CD Achuapa - CSD Chiquimulilla	2.80	5.52%
LOSS	Enskede IK (W) - Jitex BK (W)	2.70	6.36%
WIN	PFA Santa Cruz - AD Rosario	2.55	6.36%
WIN	Trindade U20 - Goias U20	2.90	5.52%
LOSS	Minas Brasilia DF (W) - Itabirito (W)	3.00	5.52%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Deportes Limache - Nublense	2	2.80	5.52%	03 Sep 02:30
El Seka El Hadid - Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	2	3.00	5.52%	03 Sep 15:30
Sheff Utd - Norwich	2	2.90	5.52%	05 Sep 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.80

Kickoff

Set 04, 2026 2:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.52% • n=654

Start

Starts in 1d 2h

Updated

Updated 2h 22m ago