CD Achuapa – CSD Chiquimulilla

Model: TIPPSA

CD Achuapa vs CSD Chiquimulilla

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.11
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 31, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 1d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CSD Chiquimulilla. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CSD ChiquimulillaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.083 | A: 0.017

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current4.14Now
Max odds4.15Highest point
Min odds2.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD AchuapaHOME
VS
CSD ChiquimulillaAWAY
WLWWW
Recent form
LWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
3.20
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.40
Home splitW-W-W-L-D1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-D-L0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.11. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.92% based on n=146 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Guatemala Primera Division (gt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.11
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.92% · n=146
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to CSD Chiquimulilla's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -11.8% 7D: 7.6% 15D: 12.1% 30D: 8.8%
Model insight

CD Achuapa – CSD Chiquimulilla Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.11. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.92% across 146 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate15.0%
Profit-8.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSPuebla (W) - Necaxa (W)4.053.92%
LOSSChelsea - Brighton3.933.92%
LOSSWalsall - Accrington Stanley4.233.92%
LOSSFortuna Dusseldorf - VfB Stuttgart II4.193.92%
LOSSVardar Skopje - FK Sileks4.053.99%
WINAlacranes de Durango - Universidad Guadalajara3.933.92%
LOSSGuayaquil City - Club Atletico Libertad4.182.78%
LOSSAthletico Paranaense - Bragantino4.193.92%
Pick
2 @ 4.11
Kickoff
Ago 31, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.92% • n=146
Start
Started 1d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 21h ago
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