Excelsior Maassluis U21 – Roda JC U21

Model: TIPPSA

Excelsior Maassluis U21 vs Roda JC U21

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 05, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 4
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Roda JC U21. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Roda JC U21Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.68Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Excelsior Maassluis U21HOME
VS
Roda JC U21AWAY
LLLL
Recent form
WDWWW
Avg goals scored
0.75
4.00
Defensive weakness
5.00
1.20
Shots on target for
4.67
9.60
SoT conceded pressure
9.67
6.20
Home splitL-L-L1.00 scored / 5.33 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L3.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands U21 League (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.30
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Roda JC U21 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 23.4% 7D: 7.2% 15D: 15.0% 30D: 6.9%
Model insight

Excelsior Maassluis U21 – Roda JC U21 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample159
Win Rate44.7%
Profit+0.60u
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WINSt. James Swifts (W) - Greenisland (W)2.051.21%
LOSSShimizu S-Pulse - FC Tokyo2.061.21%
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Pick
2 @ 2.30
Kickoff
Set 05, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 4h ago
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