Model: TIPPSA

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 02, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 6h 11m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13h 33m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Tokyo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC TokyoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.045 | A: 0.119

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.10First seen

Current2.05Now

Max odds2.12Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shimizu S-PulseHOME

FC TokyoAWAY

DLWLW

Recent form

DWWWD

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.60

Shots on target for

2.60

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

3.60

Home splitD-L-W-W-L0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-D-L1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.05. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J-League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.05

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FC Tokyo a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. FC Tokyo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -0.7% 7D: -10.2% 15D: 12.5% 30D: 5.5%

Model insight

Shimizu S-Pulse – FC Tokyo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample132

Win Rate51.5%

Profit+11.16u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Dalian Young Boy - Shanghai Shenhua	2.24	1.76%
WIN	FC United of Manchester - Avro FC	2.10	1.21%
WIN	Briton Ferry - Barry Town	2.03	1.21%
WIN	Widzew Lodz - Lech Poznan	2.18	1.21%
WIN	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2.01	1.76%
WIN	Darmstadt - Hannover 96	2.17	1.76%
WIN	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dinamo Moscow	2.20	1.21%
WIN	East Coast Bays - Auckland United FC	2.05	1.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
St. James Swifts (W) - Greenisland (W)	2	2.05	1.21%	02 Sep 20:45

Pick

2 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Set 02, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 6h 11m ago

Updated

Updated 13h 33m ago