FC Baleine Shimonoseki vs Variamore Aki
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Baleine Shimonoseki. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC Baleine ShimonosekiValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.62. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan Regional League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
FC Baleine Shimonoseki – Variamore Aki Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Minneapolis City SC Futures - West Virginia United | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Fujian Nanan (W) - Guangdong Yue Zhan (W) | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | GKS Katowice (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Olaria AC - Bangu | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC Copenhagen - Viborg | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Darmstadt - FC 08 Homburg | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Chapecoense U20 - Figueirense U20 | 1.70 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Ironbound - Manhattan SC | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taubate U20 - Guaratingueta U20 | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 17 Jul 15:00 |
| Navbahor Namangan - AGMK | 1 | 1.67 | -3.38% | 17 Jul 17:00 |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent - Lokomotiv Tashkent | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 17 Jul 17:00 |
| FK Austria Vienna II - SV Lafnitz | 1 | 1.67 | -1.89% | 17 Jul 17:00 |
| Club Brugge - Heerenveen | 1 | 1.50 | -3.82% | 17 Jul 19:00 |
| Vidir Gardur - KH Hlidarendi | 1 | 1.67 | -3.82% | 17 Jul 21:15 |
| FC Melbourne Srbija - Port Melbourne SC | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 18 Jul 10:15 |
| Wisla Krakow - SK Artis Brno | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 18 Jul 11:00 |