Darmstadt vs FC 08 Homburg
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Darmstadt. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: DarmstadtGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Darmstadt as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Darmstadt has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Darmstadt – FC 08 Homburg Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Slavija Sarajevo - Sutjeska Foca | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) - Apollon Limassol (W) | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FC Kharkiv (W) - KFF Mitrovica (W) | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| WIN | FK Minija - DFK Dainava | 1.53 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Universitatea Cluj - Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.70 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Wroxham - Lowestoft Town | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Eyupspor U19 - Alanyaspor U19 | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Ferroviario Maputo - Chingale de Tete | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional Medellin - Deportivo Cali | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 03 Sep 01:15 |
| HIFK - HPS | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 03 Sep 18:00 |
| FK Mornar Bar - FK Bokelj | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 03 Sep 20:00 |
| Pure Swansea - Carmarthen | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 04 Sep 20:30 |
| Alianza Atletico - UTC Cajamarca | 1 | 1.67 | -3.82% | 04 Sep 22:15 |
| AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 05 Sep 18:00 |
| UD Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda | 1 | 1.57 | -1.89% | 05 Sep 18:00 |
| Banik Ostrava B - Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 1 | 1.65 | -3.82% | 06 Sep 14:30 |