Darmstadt – FC 08 Homburg

Model: TipTromba2H

Darmstadt vs FC 08 Homburg

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 14, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN5 - 1
StartStarted 50d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Darmstadt. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: DarmstadtGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

11/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.50First seen
Current1.51Now
Max odds1.51Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DarmstadtHOME
VS
FC 08 HomburgAWAY
WWWLD
Recent form
LLLWW
Avg goals scored
5.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.00
Shots on target for
5.60
1.67
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
6.00
Home splitW-L-D-L2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W-L0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.50
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Darmstadt as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Darmstadt has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -6.8% 7D: 8.9% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 16.8%
Model insight

Darmstadt – FC 08 Homburg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample615
Win Rate64.4%
Profit+21.01u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINFC Kharkiv (W) - KFF Mitrovica (W)1.67-1.89%
WINFK Minija - DFK Dainava1.53-3.38%
WINUniversitatea Cluj - Petrolul Ploiesti1.70-1.89%
WINWroxham - Lowestoft Town1.53-1.89%
LOSSEyupspor U19 - Alanyaspor U191.73-1.89%
WINFerroviario Maputo - Chingale de Tete1.73-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.50
Kickoff
Lug 14, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Started 50d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 4h ago
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