FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alcorcon. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlcorconValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.11. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.51% based on n=382 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Alcorcon. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Alcorcon has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
FC Cartagena – Alcorcon Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB | 3.10 | -1.07% |
| WIN | FC Haka - KTP | 2.97 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Keflavik | 2.93 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Avai - Cuiaba | 3.20 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude | 3.22 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 3.02 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Blacktown Spartans U20 - Bankstown City Lions U20 | 2.94 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Defensores de Belgrano VR - CA Douglas Haig | 2.86 | -1.07% |