FC Cartagena – Alcorcon

Model: TIPPSA

FC Cartagena – Alcorcon

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 18d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 8h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric FC Cartagena Alcorcon
Last 5 form W-D-W-L-W L-L-W-L-L
Avg goals scored 1.40 0.80
Avg goals conceded 1.00 1.60
Home/Away form W-W-W (home) L-W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.33 scored / 0.33 conceded 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Shots on target 4.20 for / 3.60 against 5.40 for / 4.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.00 for / 3.00 against (home) 4.67 for / 4.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Alcorcon. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Alcorcon has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.62First seen
Current2.95Now
Max odds3.62Highest point
Min odds2.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

FC Cartagena – Alcorcon Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample39
Win Rate38.5%
Profit+4.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFC Chernigiv - FC Metalist Kharkiv2.77-1.07%
LOSSBurnley - Wolverhampton2.90-1.07%
LOSSTabor Sezana - NK Rudar Velenje2.87-1.07%
LOSSIF Gnistan - FF Jaro3.03-0.51%
WINSturm Graz II - Rapid Vienna II2.88-0.51%
LOSSHB Torshavn - Vikingur Gota2.85-0.51%
WINFC Thun - Young Boys2.93-0.51%
LOSSHradec Kralove - Slovan Liberec2.86-0.51%
Pick
2 @ 2.86
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 18d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 8h ago
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