FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Alcorcon. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AlcorconGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.32. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.94% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Alcorcon. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Alcorcon has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
FC Cartagena – Alcorcon Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Shandong Taishan - Henan | 3.36 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Union Berlin (W) - Hamburger SV (W) | 3.30 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Universitatea Cluj - Farul Constanta | 3.50 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Westerlo - KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 3.34 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Ansan Greeners FC - Jinju Citizen FC | 3.52 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Lincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3.30 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Ghana - Panama | 3.35 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |