FC Cartagena – Alcorcon

Model: TIPPSA

FC Cartagena – Alcorcon

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.32
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 18d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 19h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric FC Cartagena Alcorcon
Last 5 form W-D-W-L-W L-L-W-L-L
Avg goals scored 1.40 0.80
Avg goals conceded 1.00 1.60
Home/Away form W-W-W (home) L-W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.33 scored / 0.33 conceded 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Shots on target 4.20 for / 3.60 against 5.40 for / 4.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.00 for / 3.00 against (home) 4.67 for / 4.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Alcorcon has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.62First seen
Current3.50Now
Max odds3.62Highest point
Min odds3.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

FC Cartagena – Alcorcon Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.32. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample26
Win Rate42.3%
Profit+10.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRapid Vienna - SV Ried3.294.77%
WINAmerica MG - Vila Nova3.333.84%
LOSSSlavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen3.494.77%
LOSSWidzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice3.284.77%
WINSport Recife - CRB3.383.04%
LOSSIwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC3.402.94%
LOSSYunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua3.312.94%
WINMaritimo - Chaves3.302.94%
Pick
2 @ 3.32
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Start
Started 18d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 19h ago
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