Model: TIPPSA

KuPS Kuopio vs SJK

PREDICTION

@ 4.54

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 08, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 82d 14h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.80% · n=30

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 82d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SJK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SJKGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

83/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds5.40First seen

Current5.00Now

Max odds5.50Highest point

Min odds5.00Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KuPS KuopioHOME

SJKAWAY

DLDWD

Recent form

DDWDL

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

3.60

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

3.40

Home splitD-D-W-W1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-W-L2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.54. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 10.80% based on n=30 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd4.54

V2 BandNONEROI -0.38% · n=79

V4 BandELITEROI 10.80% · n=30

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to SJK's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -30.7% 7D: -14.6% 15D: -7.8% 30D: 5.6%

Model insight

KuPS Kuopio – SJK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.54. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.80% across 30 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample19

Win Rate31.6%

Profit+7.77u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Lyon - Lens	4.60	-0.38%
LOSS	Dijon - US Orleans 45	4.50	-0.38%
LOSS	Zira IK - FK Gabala	4.44	-2.42%
WIN	Getafe - Rayo Vallecano	4.53	-0.38%
WIN	Bodrum FK - Sariyer	4.33	-0.38%
LOSS	FC Utrecht - NAC	4.30	-0.38%
LOSS	Jacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas	4.42	-0.38%
LOSS	CD Diocesano U19 - UD La Cruz Villanovense U19	4.31	-0.38%

Pick

2 @ 4.54

Kickoff

Mag 08, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

10.80% • n=30

Start

Started 82d 14h ago

Updated

Updated 82d 16h ago