FC Freienbach – FC Rapperswil-Jona

Model: TipTromba5H

FC Freienbach vs FC Rapperswil-Jona

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 24, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 46d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Freienbach. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC FreienbachGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

73/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.75First seen
Current4.91Now
Max odds4.96Highest point
Min odds4.75Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC FreienbachHOME
VS
FC Rapperswil-JonaAWAY
LWWDL
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.00
Shots on target for
4.00
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
6.60
Home splitL-W-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-L-W2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.69% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.75
V2 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=45
V4 BandHIGHROI 7.69% · n=45
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -4.6% 7D: 10.8% 15D: 3.7% 30D: 0.8%
Model insight

FC Freienbach – FC Rapperswil-Jona Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.69% and 7.69%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate25.0%
Profit+5.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCavese - Juve Stabia4.757.69%
LOSSGimnastica Segoviana - Valladolid4.757.69%
LOSSBurkina Faso (W) - South Africa (W)4.506.25%
LOSSTJ Dvorniky - Vcelare - Spartak Medzev4.506.25%
WINFK Klasterec nad Ohri - FK Ostrov4.506.25%
LOSSSolihull Moors - Northampton4.507.29%
LOSSRoyale Union Hutoise - RFC Meux4.507.29%
WINMarino de Luanco - Real Aviles CF4.506.25%
Pick
1 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Giu 24, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.69% • n=45
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.69% • n=45
Start
Started 46d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 47d ago
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