East Coast Bays – Auckland City

Model: TipTromba35H

East Coast Bays vs Auckland City

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.30
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 24, 2026 11:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 12h 31m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.05% · n=18
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.05% · n=18
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is East Coast Bays. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: East Coast Bays

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current3.35Now
Max odds3.35Highest point
Min odds2.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

East Coast BaysHOME
VS
Auckland CityAWAY
WLDDL
Recent form
LWDDW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
5.00
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.60
Home splitD-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.30. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.05% based on n=18 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.30
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.05% · n=18
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.05% · n=18
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor East Coast Bays. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -32.6% 7D: 9.4% 15D: 2.6% 30D: 0.3%
Model insight

East Coast Bays – Auckland City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.30. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.05% and 2.05%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample123
Win Rate26.0%
Profit-17.42u
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LOSSInter Miami CF II - Carolina Core FC3.254.14%
LOSSRangers (W) - Deportes Concepcion (W)3.102.17%
LOSSCaboolture FC U23 - Brisbane Strikers U233.102.17%
LOSSKingborough Lions - South Hobart3.254.14%
Pick
1 @ 3.30
Kickoff
Giu 24, 2026 11:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.05% • n=18
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.05% • n=18
Start
Starts in 12h 31m
Updated
Updated 58m ago
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