Model: TipA1

FC Iberia 1999 II vs FC Merani Tbilisi

PREDICTION

@ 3.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 07, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 64d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.77% · n=349

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 65d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Merani Tbilisi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Merani Tbilisi

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.10First seen

Current3.13Now

Max odds3.13Highest point

Min odds3.10Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Iberia 1999 IIHOME

FC Merani TbilisiAWAY

WWLWW

Recent form

LWWLW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.40

Shots on target for

2.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

1.20

Home splitW-W-W-W-D1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.77% based on n=349 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Liga 3 (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.10

V2 BandLOWROI 0.77% · n=349

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor FC Merani Tbilisi. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -17.3% 7D: -16.2% 15D: -2.8% 30D: 8.3%

Model insight

FC Iberia 1999 II – FC Merani Tbilisi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.77% across 349 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample47

Win Rate40.4%

Profit+10.99u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Anderlecht - NEC	2.88	0.48%
LOSS	Real Oruro - Universitario De Vinto	3.30	1.91%
WIN	Real Pilar U20 - Argentino Merlo U20	3.00	0.48%
WIN	Juazeirense - Serra Branca EC	3.25	1.91%
WIN	Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	JK Viljandi Tulevik - JK Tammeka Tartu II	2.90	0.48%
WIN	Maranhao - Paysandu	2.90	0.48%
WIN	Brunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions	3.10	0.48%

Pick

2 @ 3.10

Kickoff

Mag 07, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.77% • n=349

Start

Started 64d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 65d 9h ago