FC Ilves – TPS

Model: TIPPSH

FC Ilves vs TPS

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.83
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 13, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 42d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 42d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Ilves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC IlvesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current1.82Now
Max odds2.00Highest point
Min odds1.82Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC IlvesHOME
VS
TPSAWAY
WWLWW
Recent form
LWLLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.80
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
5.40
Home splitW-W-W-W-L2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-D0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.83
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FC Ilves. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FC Ilves is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 77.2% 7D: -3.6% 15D: 6.7% 30D: 14.6%
Model insight

FC Ilves – TPS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample271
Win Rate52.4%
Profit-0.45u
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LOSSBraga - Celta Vigo2.033.37%
WINDetroit City FC - Indy Eleven1.763.37%
LOSSGold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves1.793.37%
LOSSHamrun Spartans - NSI Runavik1.783.37%
WINGimnasia LP (W) - Huracan (W)1.883.37%
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Pick
1 @ 1.83
Kickoff
Giu 13, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 42d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 42d 23h ago
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