FC Ilves vs TPS
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Ilves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC IlvesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives FC Ilves a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Ilves's attacking profile.
FC Ilves – TPS Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano | 2.08 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ajax - Burnley | 2.04 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20 | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Queen's Park - Queen of South | 2.01 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF | 1.94 | 3.37% |
| WIN | CS Corvinul Hunedoara - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Braga - Celta Vigo | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Detroit City FC - Indy Eleven | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |