FC Ilves vs TPS
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FC Ilves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FC IlvesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FC Ilves. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FC Ilves is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
FC Ilves – TPS Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ponte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U20 | 1.81 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Queen's Park - Queen of South | 2.01 | 3.37% |
| WIN | CS Corvinul Hunedoara - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 2.05 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Braga - Celta Vigo | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Detroit City FC - Indy Eleven | 1.76 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Gold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves | 1.79 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Hamrun Spartans - NSI Runavik | 1.78 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Gimnasia LP (W) - Huracan (W) | 1.88 | 3.37% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Ajax - Burnley | 1 | 2.04 | 3.37% | 26 Jul 14:00 |
| Feyenoord - Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 2.08 | 3.37% | 26 Jul 14:00 |
| Ljungskile - Sandvikens IF | 1 | 1.94 | 3.37% | 26 Jul 15:00 |