Model: TipA1

FC Kuressaare vs JK Trans Narva

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 16, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 47d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 48d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is JK Trans Narva. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JK Trans NarvaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.30First seen

Current2.40Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC KuressaareHOME

JK Trans NarvaAWAY

DWDWL

Recent form

DLWLW

Avg goals scored

1.20

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

2.60

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

3.20

Home splitD-W-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-L0.00 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Meistriliiga (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.25

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. JK Trans Narva is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -21.2% 7D: 0.5% 15D: -7.3% 30D: 10.9%

Model insight

FC Kuressaare – JK Trans Narva Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample204

Win Rate41.2%

Profit-11.73u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Vsetin - Sigma Olomouc B	2.10	3.75%
LOSS	IFK Berga - IFK Trelleborg	2.35	4.27%
LOSS	Stockport - Preston	2.20	3.75%
WIN	Al Nejmeh - Al Ansar Beirut	2.30	4.27%
LOSS	Cove Rangers - Airdrieonians	2.25	4.27%
WIN	Ruthin Town FC - Holyhead Hotspur	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	SV Leobendorf - Parndorf	2.40	4.27%
WIN	Burgan SC - Al-Jazeera KWT	2.15	3.75%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
ATSV Wolfsberg - Wolfsberger AC	2	2.15	3.75%	31 Jul 19:00

Pick

2 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Giu 16, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Start

Started 47d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 48d 8h ago