Model: TIPPSA

FC Lustenau vs TSV St. Johann

PREDICTION

@ 2.22

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 13, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 1

StartStarted 52d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 52d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is TSV St. Johann. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: TSV St. JohannGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.28Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.21Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC LustenauHOME

TSV St. JohannAWAY

WLDLD

Recent form

LLDWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.40

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.40

Shots on target for

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

8.40

5.80

Home splitW-D-D-L-L1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-L-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.22. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria Regionalliga West (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.22

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 22.5% 7D: -0.9% 15D: -1.6% 30D: 13.5%

Model insight

FC Lustenau – TSV St. Johann Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.22. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample121

Win Rate50.4%

Profit+9.79u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Larne FC - FC Iberia 1999	2.23	1.76%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%
WIN	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	2.34	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.22

Kickoff

Giu 13, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 52d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 52d 7h ago