FC Naples – Union Omaha

Model: TIPPSA

FC Naples vs Union Omaha

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 27, 2026 3:30 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 0
StartStarted 1d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Union Omaha. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Union OmahaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.047 | A: 0.067

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.90First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC NaplesHOME
VS
Union OmahaAWAY
WWLWL
Recent form
LDWWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
4.60
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
2.80
Home splitW-W-L-L-L1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-L2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL League One (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.25
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 19.8% 7D: 28.7% 15D: 8.1% 30D: 8.9%
Model insight

FC Naples – Union Omaha Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample161
Win Rate48.4%
Profit+8.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHNK Rijeka - Midtjylland2.270.84%
WINStockport U21 - Charlton U212.241.21%
LOSSChapecoense - Sao Paulo2.111.21%
LOSSCFR Cluj - FCSB2.041.21%
LOSSAC Horsens - Lyngby2.300.84%
LOSSFC Ufa - FK Yenisey2.460.84%
LOSSHB Køge - Kolding IF2.310.84%
WINFK Nove Sady - Bzenec2.051.76%
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Ago 27, 2026 3:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 1d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 9h ago
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