Model: TIPPSA

FK Nove Sady vs Bzenec

PREDICTION

@ 2.01

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 4

StartStarted 1h 36m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.76% · n=65

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.76% · n=65

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 38m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bzenec. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: BzenecGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.123 | A: -0.060

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.80First seen

Current2.05Now

Max odds2.05Highest point

Min odds1.80Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Nove SadyHOME

BzenecAWAY

LLLLL

Recent form

WLWLD

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.60

Defensive weakness

3.60

2.20

Shots on target for

2.20

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

10.20

5.40

Home splitL-L-L-L-L0.40 scored / 2.80 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-W1.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.01. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.76% based on n=65 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Czechia 4. Liga (cz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.01

V2 BandLOWROI 1.76% · n=65

V4 BandLOWROI 1.76% · n=65

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Bzenec. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Bzenec is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 32.3% 7D: 20.7% 15D: 1.3% 30D: 3.5%

Model insight

FK Nove Sady – Bzenec Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.76% and 1.76%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample107

Win Rate50.5%

Profit+5.45u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Malmo FF (W) - Hammarby (W)	2.10	1.21%
LOSS	Leioa - Portugalete	2.11	1.76%
LOSS	Molde 2 - Rosenborg 2	2.09	1.76%
LOSS	St Mochtas - Malahide Utd	2.20	1.21%
LOSS	Wenzhou FC - Shenzhen 2028	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Pors Grenland - Bjarg	2.20	1.21%
WIN	Moggill - Newmarket	2.06	1.21%
WIN	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	2.04	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.01

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.76% • n=65

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.76% • n=65

Start

Started 1h 36m ago

Updated

Updated 3h 38m ago