Model: TipTromba4H
FC Rustavi – FC Iberia 1999
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 30d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.06% · n=214
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.06% · n=214
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FC Rustavi | FC Iberia 1999 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-W-W | L-W-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | L-W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.50 scored / 0.50 conceded | 2.00 scored / 0.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 2.60 against | 3.40 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 1.50 against (home) | 3.25 for / 3.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FC Rustavi has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.01First seen
Current4.23Now
Max odds4.23Highest point
Min odds4.01Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FC Rustavi – FC Iberia 1999 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.06% and 4.06%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate27.8%
Profit+2.15u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | BK Astrio - Landvetter IS | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Niigata University H&W - Toyama Shinjo Club | 3.90 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Hellenic AC - Port Darwin FC | 3.80 | 4.09% |
| LOSS | Progres Sakiet Eddaier - JS Omrane | 3.75 | 4.09% |
| WIN | Bahla - Al-Nahda | 3.90 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | EC Juventude U20 - Flamengo U20 | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Guangzhou Dandelion - Wuxi Wugo | 3.75 | 4.06% |
| WIN | Viking FK (W) - Haugesund (W) | 3.70 | 3.25% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul Amazones (W) - Incheon Red Angels (W) | 1 | 3.70 | 3.99% | 27 May 12:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.90
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.06% • n=214
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.06% • n=214
Start
Started 30d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 31d ago