Niigata University H&W – Toyama Shinjo Club

Model: TipTromba4H

Niigata University H&W vs Toyama Shinjo Club

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 48d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.09% · n=255
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Niigata University H&W. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Niigata University H&W

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.90First seen
Current4.36Now
Max odds4.36Highest point
Min odds3.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Niigata University H&WHOME
VS
Toyama Shinjo ClubAWAY
LWWL
Recent form
WDWW
Avg goals scored
5.75
1.75
Defensive weakness
1.50
0.00
Shots on target for
9.00
4.67
SoT conceded pressure
5.33
3.00
Home splitL0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-W2.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.09% based on n=255 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan Regional League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.90
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.09% · n=255
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Niigata University H&W is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.2% 7D: 30.2% 15D: 23.0% 30D: 8.6%
Model insight

Niigata University H&W – Toyama Shinjo Club Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.09% and 4.09%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample56
Win Rate30.4%
Profit+8.60u
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Pick
1 @ 3.90
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.09% • n=255
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.09% • n=255
Start
Started 48d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 10h ago
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