FC Sioni Bolnisi – FC Samtredia

Model: TIPPSH

FC Sioni Bolnisi vs FC Samtredia

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.89
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 22, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 4h 57m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 17m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Sioni Bolnisi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Sioni Bolnisi

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current1.83Now
Max odds1.83Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Sioni BolnisiHOME
VS
FC SamtrediaAWAY
WLWDD
Recent form
LLDLL
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
2.60
Shots on target for
4.20
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
7.00
Home splitW-W-D-W-D1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-L1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.89. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia First League (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.89
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -77.5% 7D: -4.2% 15D: 0.0% 30D: -0.4%
Model insight

FC Sioni Bolnisi – FC Samtredia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample232
Win Rate45.3%
Profit-28.79u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGuarani de Palhoca - Nacao2.001.31%
WINMaitland FC - Newcastle Olympic FC1.841.31%
WINIFK Goteborg (W) - Trelleborgs FF (W)1.771.04%
WINBK Forward - Fittja IF1.821.04%
WINSerra Branca EC - Juazeirense1.891.31%
LOSSNorth Brisbane FC - Redcliffe Dolphins SC1.811.04%
WINCobreloa - Cobresal1.941.04%
LOSSFluminense U20 - Atletico Paranaense U202.011.31%
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Pick
1 @ 1.89
Kickoff
Giu 22, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 4h 57m ago
Updated
Updated 7h 17m ago
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