Basel vs FC Thun
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Basel. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: BaselGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.065 | A: 0.008Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.13. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Switzerland Super League (ch). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Basel – FC Thun Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W) | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W) | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Lujan - Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2.07 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CS Deportivo Sacachispas - Mictlán | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Police AC - Rainbow AC | 1.93 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Alemannia Aachen - Verl | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FC Probiy Horodenka - FC Chernigiv | 2.22 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Polissya Zhytomyr - FC Kharkiv | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 10 Aug 14:30 |
| Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves | 1 | 2.20 | 1.31% | 10 Aug 15:30 |
| Olympic Mobiuz - Shurtan | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 10 Aug 16:00 |
| Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 10 Aug 18:00 |
| Apia L Tigers - Sydney United 58 | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 12 Aug 11:30 |