Model: TIPPSA

FC Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik

PREDICTION

@ 5.17

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 06, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 6h 36m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.75% · n=60

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vikingur Reykjavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vikingur ReykjavikGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.006 | A: 0.091

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

61/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds7.85First seen

Current5.61Now

Max odds7.95Highest point

Min odds5.61Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC ThunHOME

Vikingur ReykjavikAWAY

LLWDL

Recent form

DLWWL

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.00

Defensive weakness

2.60

1.60

Shots on target for

3.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

6.80

2.20

Home splitL-D-L-L-W1.40 scored / 3.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-D-L1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 5.17. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.75% based on n=60 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Europa League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd5.17

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.75% · n=60

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Vikingur Reykjavik shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 14.7% 7D: 39.1% 15D: 6.4% 30D: 12.7%

Model insight

FC Thun – Vikingur Reykjavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.75% across 60 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample5

Win Rate0.0%

Profit-5.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	5.02	3.75%
LOSS	FCSB - FC Arges Pitesti	5.17	3.75%
LOSS	Palermo - Catanzaro	4.98	3.75%
LOSS	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	4.99	5.00%
LOSS	Ravenna - ASD Pineto Calcio	4.93	5.00%

Pick

2 @ 5.17

Kickoff

Ago 06, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.75% • n=60

Start

Starts in 6h 36m

Updated

Updated 7m ago