FC Volendam – FC Dordrecht

Model: TIPPSA

FC Volendam vs FC Dordrecht

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.18
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 28, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS6 - 1
StartStarted 2d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Dordrecht. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC DordrechtGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.076 | A: -0.049

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.97First seen
Current3.45Now
Max odds4.20Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC VolendamHOME
VS
FC DordrechtAWAY
WLWLL
Recent form
LLDWL
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.40
Shots on target for
3.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
7.20
Home splitW-W-L-L-L2.40 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-D1.25 scored / 3.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.18. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.18
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor FC Dordrecht. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. FC Dordrecht is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 0.2% 7D: 16.8% 15D: 10.7% 30D: 9.5%
Model insight

FC Volendam – FC Dordrecht Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample65
Win Rate33.8%
Profit+2.96u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCerro Porteno - Libertad Asuncion3.19-1.07%
LOSSMonaco - Marseille3.23-1.07%
LOSSNK Bravo - NS Mura3.15-1.07%
LOSSKhor Fakkan - Al Dhafra SCC2.96-1.07%
LOSSValenciennes - Concarneau3.10-1.07%
WINEnppi - Wadi Degla2.94-1.07%
WINCarrarese - Mantova3.16-1.07%
LOSSASA Targu Mures - Gloria Bistrita3.14-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 3.18
Kickoff
Ago 28, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Start
Started 2d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 1h ago
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