Valenciennes vs Concarneau
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Concarneau. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ConcarneauGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.056 | A: -0.136Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 3 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Concarneau shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Valenciennes – Concarneau Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Cerro Porteno - Libertad Asuncion | 3.19 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Monaco - Marseille | 3.23 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | NK Bravo - NS Mura | 3.15 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra SCC | 2.96 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Carrarese - Mantova | 3.16 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | ASA Targu Mures - Gloria Bistrita | 3.14 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Pau - Nancy | 3.10 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Solihull Moors - Middlesbrough U21 | 3.30 | -1.31% |