Model: TipTromba4H

FC Ylivieska vs FC Kiisto

PREDICTION

@ 3.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 07, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.85% · n=71

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.85% · n=71

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5h 42m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Ylivieska. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Ylivieska

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC YlivieskaHOME

FC KiistoAWAY

WLWDW

Recent form

WLDWW

Avg goals scored

3.00

2.60

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.20

Shots on target for

6.40

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

3.60

Home splitW-W-W-L-W3.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-W-D3.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.85% based on n=71 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.50

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.85% · n=71

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.85% · n=71

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices FC Ylivieska as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Ylivieska's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 1.4% 7D: 39.2% 15D: 27.4% 30D: 15.4%

Model insight

FC Ylivieska – FC Kiisto Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.85% and 4.85%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample44

Win Rate38.6%

Profit+17.85u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Peamount Utd (W) - Athlone Town (W)	3.75	4.09%
LOSS	San Luis Quillota - Everton de Vina	3.60	3.99%
WIN	Salus - Durazno	3.60	4.85%
LOSS	Volsungur - Grotta Seltjarnarnes	3.60	4.85%
WIN	FC Miami City (W) - Sporting JAX (W)	3.60	3.99%
WIN	Magallanes - Palestino	3.75	4.09%
LOSS	Souths United - Moreton City Excelsior B	3.50	3.99%
LOSS	Swarm FC (W) - Asheville City SC (W)	3.75	4.09%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
SV Horn - Floridsdorfer AC	1	3.60	3.99%	07 Jul 18:00

Pick

1 @ 3.50

Kickoff

Lug 07, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.85% • n=71

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.85% • n=71

Start

Starts in 1d

Updated

Updated 5h 42m ago