Model: TIPPSH
Penarol Reserves vs Torque Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 02, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 48d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 16h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Penarol Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Penarol ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.12Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Penarol ReservesHOME
VS
Torque ReservesAWAY
WWLDL
Recent form
LDDLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.60
Shots on target for
4.60
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.60
Home splitW-W-L-D-W0.80 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-D-W1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Reserve League (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Penarol Reserves. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -9.3%
7D: 3.6%
15D: 18.8%
30D: 12.7%
Model insight
Penarol Reserves – Torque Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample399
Win Rate48.1%
Profit-19.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Jeonbuk Motors - Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1 | 1.98 | 1.04% | 21 Jul 12:30 |
| Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 21:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |
| AaB - Hillerød | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 24 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Giu 02, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 48d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 16h ago