Model: TIPPSA
Finn Harps – Athlone Town
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 32d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 32d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Finn Harps | Athlone Town |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-D-D | W-W-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-D (home) | W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.33 scored / 1.33 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.20 for / 6.60 against | 4.00 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.33 for / 7.00 against (home) | 4.50 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Athlone Town has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Athlone Town's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.18First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds3.38Highest point
Min odds3.18Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Finn Harps – Athlone Town Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.92% and 2.92%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample22
Win Rate45.5%
Profit+11.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua | 3.31 | 2.94% |
| WIN | Maritimo - Chaves | 3.30 | 2.94% |
| WIN | FK Austria Vienna II - SV Kapfenberg | 3.35 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.21
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.92% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.92% • n=29
Start
Started 32d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 32d 8h ago