Fiorentina (W) vs Man City (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Fiorentina (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Fiorentina (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.087 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.15% based on n=34 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s Friendly. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Fiorentina (W) – Man City (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | El Nacional - Club 9 de Octubre | 8.50 | -6.05% |
| LOSS | UNSAAC (W) - Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 8.50 | -6.05% |
| LOSS | Holstebro - AaB | 8.50 | -7.07% |
| LOSS | Moldova Beach - Italy Beach | 8.50 | -0.15% |
| LOSS | Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves - Club Guarani Reserves | 8.50 | -6.42% |
| LOSS | Broadmeadow Magic (W) - New Lambton FC (W) | 8.50 | -6.05% |
| LOSS | Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 - First Vienna FC 1894 | 8.50 | -6.05% |
| LOSS | Anjos do Ceu FC U20 - CEFAT Tirol U20 | 8.50 | -6.05% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Campo Mourao - CE Uniao | 1 | 8.50 | -0.15% | 08 Aug 20:30 |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 8.50 | -6.42% | 09 Aug 14:30 |
| Shirak - FC Noah | 1 | 8.50 | -6.42% | 09 Aug 17:00 |