Model: TIPPSH

FK Gabala vs Araz FK

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 25, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 86d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.42% · n=76

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.42% · n=76

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 88d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Gabala. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK GabalaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.30First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK GabalaHOME

Araz FKAWAY

DLLW

Recent form

DLLL

Avg goals scored

0.75

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.75

2.50

Shots on target for

3.00

3.25

SoT conceded pressure

2.75

6.00

Home splitD-L0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-L1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.42% based on n=76 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Azerbaijan Premier League (az). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.30

V2 BandNONEROI -0.42% · n=76

V4 BandNONEROI -0.42% · n=76

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 5.1% 7D: 3.6% 15D: 19.4% 30D: 16.2%

Model insight

FK Gabala – Araz FK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.42% and -0.42%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample53

Win Rate41.5%

Profit-0.52u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Rouen - Laval	2.29	-1.54%
LOSS	Aarau - Grasshoppers	2.46	-0.42%
LOSS	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	2.38	-1.54%
LOSS	Padova U19 - Venezia U19	2.38	-1.54%
WIN	Sport Boys - Cusco FC	2.36	-1.54%
WIN	FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)	2.50	-1.54%
LOSS	St Gallen - FC Thun	2.25	-1.54%
LOSS	Montana - Spartak Varna	2.44	-1.54%

Pick

1 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Apr 25, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -0.42% • n=76

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-0.42% • n=76

Start

Started 86d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 88d 11h ago