Model: TIPPSH
FK Gabala – Araz FK
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 31d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.42% · n=76
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.42% · n=76
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 15h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FK Gabala | Araz FK |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-W | D-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 2.75 against | 3.25 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 3.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.30Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
FK Gabala – Araz FK Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.42% and -0.42%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample53
Win Rate41.5%
Profit-0.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rouen - Laval | 2.29 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | Sport Boys - Cusco FC | 2.36 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | St Gallen - FC Thun | 2.25 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Montana - Spartak Varna | 2.44 | -1.54% |
Pick
1 @ 2.30
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.42% • n=76
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.42% • n=76
Start
Started 31d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 15h ago