Model: TipA1
FK Siauliai II – FK Ekranas
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 9d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.99% · n=449
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.99% · n=449
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FK Siauliai II | FK Ekranas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-L-D | D-W-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-D (home) | D-L-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.33 conceded | 1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.40 for / 8.80 against | 3.00 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.67 for / 5.33 against (home) | 2.00 for / 4.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.13First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds2.13Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FK Siauliai II – FK Ekranas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.99% and 4.99%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample127
Win Rate39.4%
Profit-13.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sao Cristovao U20 - AA Carapebus U20 | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Almirante Brown Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - Thor/THK/Volsungur U19 | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | KS Sniadowo - Supraslanka Suprasl | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Muang Loei United - Uttaradit FC | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Sportivo Luqueno - Olimpia Asuncion | 2.35 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | NK Krsko - ND Gorica | 2.50 | 4.27% |
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.99% • n=449
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.99% • n=449
Start
Started 9d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 21h ago