Model: TIPPSH
FK Volga Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.09
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 25, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 11h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FK Volga Ulyanovsk. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FK Volga UlyanovskGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.317 | A: -0.156Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
30/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.32First seen
Current2.09Now
Max odds2.33Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
FK Volga UlyanovskHOME
VS
Neftekhimik NizhnekamskAWAY
LLDLW
Recent form
WLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.60
Shots on target for
3.50
1.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
3.60
Home splitL-L-L-W-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-W-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.09. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Russia Division 1 (ru). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.09
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FK Volga Ulyanovsk's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 0.2%
7D: 33.7%
15D: 20.0%
30D: 25.8%
Model insight
FK Volga Ulyanovsk – Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.09. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample354
Win Rate48.3%
Profit-2.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Cali (W) - America de Cali (W) | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Zhejiang Hangzhou B (W) - Guangdong Yue Zhan (W) | 2.33 | 1.59% |
| WIN | RB Keflavik - KB Breidholt | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FK Sloga Doboj - Ajman SCC | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Velez Sarsfield Reserves - CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | RAAL La Louviere - Kifisias FC | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Hajduk Split - Pafos FC | 2.26 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Vysocina Jihlava - Viktoria Zizkov | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 18:00 |
| AaB - Hillerød | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 24 Jul 19:00 |
| Gimnasia Mendoza - Central Cordoba | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 21:45 |
| New York Red Bulls II - Crown Legacy | 1 | 2.09 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 01:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| Liaoning Ironman - Qingdao West Coast | 1 | 2.16 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 13:35 |
Pick
1 @ 2.09
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 1d 11h
Updated
Updated 8m ago