Model: TIPPSH

Fraser Park vs Bankstown United FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 05, 2026 1:30 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 89d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.90% · n=238

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 89d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Fraser Park. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Fraser ParkGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.86First seen

Current2.63Now

Max odds2.86Highest point

Min odds1.60Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Fraser ParkHOME

Bankstown United FCAWAY

WDWWL

Recent form

LWLLW

Avg goals scored

3.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.40

Shots on target for

12.67

0.33

SoT conceded pressure

2.33

0.67

Home splitW-W-W-W5.25 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.90% based on n=238 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Cup Qualifying (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.63

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.90% · n=238

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Fraser Park shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Fraser Park has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -3.3% 7D: -14.3% 15D: -1.7% 30D: 11.4%

Model insight

Fraser Park – Bankstown United FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.90% and 6.90%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample13

Win Rate23.1%

Profit-5.49u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Athlone Town - UCD	2.82	7.96%
LOSS	FC Yamato Sylphid (W) - Veertien Mie (W)	2.75	7.96%
LOSS	Haras El Hedoud - Petrojet	2.87	7.96%
LOSS	FC Copenhagen - Midtjylland	2.51	6.90%
LOSS	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Jandal	2.63	6.90%
LOSS	FK Blansko - SK Unicov	2.45	6.90%
WIN	Al Hamriyah - Al Fujairah	2.45	6.90%
LOSS	Escola Varsovia U19 - Lech Poznan U19	2.70	6.90%

Pick

1 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Mag 05, 2026 1:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.90% • n=238

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.90% • n=238

Start

Started 89d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 89d 8h ago