Galway United – Derry City

Model: TIPPSA

Galway United vs Derry City

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 19, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 46d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Derry City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Derry CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

20/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.34First seen
Current2.33Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.32Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Galway UnitedHOME
VS
Derry CityAWAY
WLDLW
Recent form
LWLDD
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
3.60
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.80
2.60
Home splitW-L-L-L-D1.40 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-D1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.16
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 20.6% 7D: 3.2% 15D: -0.3% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Galway United – Derry City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample55
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-8.23u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINMFK Zemplin Michalovce - MSK Zilina2.04-0.84%
LOSSCinfaes - AD Marco 092.03-0.84%
LOSSPaysandu (W) - Sociedade Acao (W)2.14-0.84%
LOSSFerencvarosi TC - FC Twente2.20-0.84%
LOSSGuayaquil City - Universidad Catolica del Ecuador2.12-0.84%
LOSSSlavia Mozyr - Dinamo Brest2.15-0.84%
LOSSUD Alagoana (W) - Doce Mel EC (W)2.09-0.84%
LOSSDedza Dynamos - Big Bullets2.02-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Giu 19, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Started 46d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 8h ago
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