Gimnastica Segoviana – Rayo Majadahonda

Model: TIPPSH

Gimnastica Segoviana vs Rayo Majadahonda

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.15
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 22, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 6h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gimnastica Segoviana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gimnastica SegovianaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.061 | A: -0.076

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.09First seen
Current3.15Now
Max odds3.15Highest point
Min odds2.09Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gimnastica SegovianaHOME
VS
Rayo MajadahondaAWAY
DLWLL
Recent form
LLDLW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
3.40
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
3.20
Home splitL-W-L-W-L0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-D0.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.15. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.04% based on n=113 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.15
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.04% · n=113
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 43.8% 7D: 14.1% 15D: 4.1% 30D: 5.1%
Model insight

Gimnastica Segoviana – Rayo Majadahonda Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.04% across 113 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate52.8%
Profit+21.18u
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ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSUSV Gnas - Ilzer SV2.984.53%
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WINIBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) - Stjarnan (W)3.224.53%
WINAsteras Tripolis - AEK Larnaca2.924.53%
LOSSKFC Komarno - Dunajska Streda3.194.53%
WINEintracht Norderstedt - Kickers Emden3.224.53%
LOSSMarseille - Atletico Madrid2.942.79%
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Pick
1 @ 3.15
Kickoff
Ago 22, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.04% • n=113
Start
Starts in 6h
Updated
Updated 2h 47m ago
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