Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Larnaca
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Asteras Tripolis. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Asteras TripolisGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.027 | A: 0.074Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.92. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Asteras Tripolis shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Asteras Tripolis – AEK Larnaca Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Loughborough University - Belper Town | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Mineros - Monagas II | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Club Aurora - Bolivar | 2.70 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Lebedyn | 3.07 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Bury Town - Halesowen | 2.95 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama | 2.93 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| WIN | FC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi | 2.90 | 4.53% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 1 | 3.09 | 4.53% | 21 Jul 19:00 |
| Cruzeiro - Flamengo | 1 | 3.12 | 4.53% | 13 Aug 02:30 |
| Oaxaca - Tepatitlan FC | 1 | 3.02 | 4.53% | 14 Aug 03:00 |
| Marseille - Atletico Madrid | 1 | 2.94 | 2.79% | 14 Aug 17:30 |
| Llaneros - Deportes Tolima | 1 | 2.73 | 2.49% | 15 Aug 01:00 |
| Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 2.73 | 3.15% | 15 Aug 12:00 |
| Crusaders - Ballymena Utd | 1 | 2.96 | 4.53% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| Leixoes - Tondela | 1 | 2.73 | 2.49% | 16 Aug 16:30 |