Gremio Novorizontino – Avai

Model: TIPPSH

Gremio Novorizontino – Avai

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 4:15 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 41d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.53% · n=59
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.53% · n=59
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 41d 8h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Gremio Novorizontino Avai
Last 5 form L-L-W-D-W W-L-L-W-D
Avg goals scored 1.40 1.40
Avg goals conceded 1.00 1.40
Home/Away form L-W-W-D (home) W-L-D-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Shots on target 5.80 for / 4.40 against 4.00 for / 6.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.25 for / 4.75 against (home) 4.00 for / 6.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Gremio Novorizontino's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -15.1% 7D: 2.9% 15D: 4.2% 30D: 15.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.65First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.24Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Gremio Novorizontino – Avai Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.53% and 9.53%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+5.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRacing Power (W) - Braga (W)2.859.53%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Diosa Izumo (W)3.039.53%
WINVysocina Jihlava U19 - Slovan Liberec U192.809.53%
LOSSDoncaster - Stevenage2.779.53%
LOSSJuarez FC (W) - Chivas Guadalajara (W)2.889.53%
LOSSBahia U20 - Palmeiras U202.809.53%
WINEngland (W) - Spain (W)3.149.53%
WINTahiti United - Solomon Kings FC3.109.53%
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 4:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.53% • n=59
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.53% • n=59
Start
Started 41d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 41d 8h ago
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