Greuther Furth – Fortuna Dusseldorf

Model: TIPPSH

Greuther Furth vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 56d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Greuther Furth. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Greuther Furth

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Greuther FurthHOME
VS
Fortuna DusseldorfAWAY
WLDLW
Recent form
LWLWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.60
Shots on target for
5.60
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
6.20
Home splitW-D-W-L1.75 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L0.00 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany Bundesliga II (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.26
V2 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Greuther Furth's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 7.9% 7D: 13.5% 15D: -0.6% 30D: 0.4%
Model insight

Greuther Furth – Fortuna Dusseldorf Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample49
Win Rate38.8%
Profit-4.09u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRouen - Laval2.29-1.54%
LOSSAarau - Grasshoppers2.46-0.42%
LOSSF91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen2.38-1.54%
LOSSPadova U19 - Venezia U192.38-1.54%
WINSport Boys - Cusco FC2.36-1.54%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)2.50-1.54%
LOSSSt Gallen - FC Thun2.25-1.54%
LOSSMontana - Spartak Varna2.44-1.54%
Pick
1 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 56d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 20h ago
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