Model: TIPPSH

Grorud vs Tromsdalen

PREDICTION

@ 1.88

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 15h 40m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 17h 44m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Grorud. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GrorudGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.011 | A: -0.029

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.00First seen

Current1.88Now

Max odds2.00Highest point

Min odds1.84Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GrorudHOME

TromsdalenAWAY

WWLLW

Recent form

WWDLL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.40

Shots on target for

5.20

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

5.20

Home splitL-W-W-W-L2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-W-W1.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 2 Group 2 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.88

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Grorud's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -23.9% 7D: -23.5% 15D: -0.2% 30D: 3.2%

Model insight

Grorud – Tromsdalen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample23

Win Rate56.5%

Profit+2.07u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Eupen - Genk II	1.63	5.11%
LOSS	VfB Stuttgart II - FC Viktoria Köln	2.09	6.72%
LOSS	Barnsley - Bromley	1.96	6.72%
LOSS	Souths United - Taringa Rovers	1.94	6.72%
LOSS	Nelson Suburbs - Christchurch United	1.72	5.11%
WIN	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	2.00	6.72%
LOSS	Vysocina Jihlava - FK Pribram	2.01	6.72%
WIN	Sporting - Nottm Forest	2.05	6.72%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Leones FC - Guayaquil City	1	1.87	6.72%	23 Jul 23:30

Pick

1 @ 1.88

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 15h 40m ago

Updated

Updated 17h 44m ago