Model: TipTromba25H

Guabira vs Nacional Potosi

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 54d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=126

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=126

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guabira. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guabira

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.03First seen

Current1.87Now

Max odds2.10Highest point

Min odds1.87Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GuabiraHOME

Nacional PotosiAWAY

WDWLL

Recent form

LDLDL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.80

Shots on target for

6.00

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

8.00

Home splitW-W-L-D2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=126 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Primera Division (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.10

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=126

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=126

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Guabira is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 27.7% 7D: 16.2% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 2.2%

Model insight

Guabira – Nacional Potosi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.85% and 6.85%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample17

Win Rate64.7%

Profit+6.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Cape Verde Islands - Saudi Arabia	2.35	7.47%
WIN	Olympic Kingsway U23 - Stirling Macedonia U23	2.20	6.63%
WIN	Ballyclare Comrades (W) - Craigavon City (W)	2.15	6.63%
WIN	Ballymoney United (W) - Ballymena Utd (W)	2.30	7.47%
WIN	Viking FK (W) - Honefoss (W)	2.35	7.47%
WIN	Juventus SP U20 - Mirassol U20	2.00	6.63%
LOSS	Iga FC Kunoichi (W) - Orca Kamogawa FC (W)	2.20	6.63%
WIN	Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane Olympic FC	2.00	6.63%

Pick

1 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.85% • n=126

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=126

Start

Started 54d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 23h ago