Model: TipA1

Derby U21 vs Hull U21

PREDICTION

@ 3.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 14, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 4h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 55m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hull U21. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hull U21Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.003

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

54/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Derby U21HOME

Hull U21AWAY

LLWW

Recent form

LWLWL

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.75

1.80

Shots on target for

3.00

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

8.33

5.60

Home splitW-W1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-W-L0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.52% based on n=654 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England U21 Premier League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.00

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.52% · n=654

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Hull U21 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 15.5% 7D: 14.8% 15D: 14.9% 30D: 11.1%

Model insight

Derby U21 – Hull U21 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.52% across 654 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample141

Win Rate34.0%

Profit-0.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Puskas Academy II - Komarom VSE	2.75	5.52%
LOSS	Lyn 1896 II - Fram	3.00	5.52%
LOSS	Debreceni VSC - Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2.80	5.52%
LOSS	Szentlorinc SE - FC Nagykanizsa	2.75	5.52%
LOSS	Weston Super Mare - Chesham	3.10	5.52%
LOSS	Kings Lynn Town - Harborough Town	3.00	5.52%
LOSS	Estudiantes Merida - Zamora	3.10	5.52%
LOSS	Sandecja Nowy Sacz - Rekord Bielsko-Biala	3.10	5.52%

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Pick

2 @ 3.00

Kickoff

Ago 14, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.52% • n=654

Start

Starts in 1d 4h

Updated

Updated 4h 55m ago