Model: TIPPSH
Guarani de Palhoca – Nacao
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 10h 55m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6m ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Guarani de Palhoca | Nacao |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-W-L-W | W-L-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W-D-L (home) | L-L-D-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded | 1.20 scored / 2.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 4.80 against | 2.60 for / 6.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.25 for / 3.25 against (home) | 3.60 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 7.5%
7D: 12.5%
15D: 0.9%
30D: 5.6%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Catarinense 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow
Model insight
Guarani de Palhoca – Nacao Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample259
Win Rate45.2%
Profit-27.91u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Maitland FC - Newcastle Olympic FC | 1.84 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Cobreloa - Cobresal | 1.94 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Fluminense U20 - Atletico Paranaense U20 | 2.01 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Estudiantes LP U20 - Gimnasia LP U20 | 2.14 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Henan U20 - Ningbo Professional U20 | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Ullern - KFUM 2 | 1.84 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Griffins FC (W) - City SC Utah (W) | 1.82 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - CSD Flandria | 2.17 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| North Brisbane FC - Redcliffe Dolphins SC | 1 | 1.81 | 1.04% | 21 Jun 09:00 |
| BK Forward - Fittja IF | 1 | 1.82 | 1.04% | 21 Jun 13:00 |
| Helsingborg - GIF Sundsvall | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 21 Jun 15:00 |
| IFK Goteborg (W) - Trelleborgs FF (W) | 1 | 1.77 | 1.04% | 21 Jun 16:00 |
| Serra Branca EC - Juazeirense | 1 | 1.89 | 1.31% | 21 Jun 20:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 10h 55m
Updated
Updated 6m ago