Model: TIPPSH
Maitland FC vs Newcastle Olympic FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 45d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 21h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Maitland FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Maitland FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
27/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.84First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds2.22Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Maitland FCHOME
VS
Newcastle Olympic FCAWAY
WWWWL
Recent form
LDLLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.00
Shots on target for
2.80
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
6.40
Home splitW-W-W-L-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D2.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.85
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -21.8%
7D: -0.9%
15D: -5.3%
30D: 5.3%
Model insight
Maitland FC – Newcastle Olympic FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample427
Win Rate48.9%
Profit-25.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Queanbeyan City U23 - Tuggeranong United U23 | 1.88 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Nublense - Rangers de Talca | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Keflavik - KA Akureyri | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| WIN | SalPa - JJK | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | RTC FC - Thimphu FC | 1.77 | 1.04% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
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| El Paso Locomotive FC - Monterey Bay FC | 1 | 1.78 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 03:00 |
| Denver Summit FC (W) - North Carolina Courage (W) | 1 | 1.95 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 04:00 |
| Monaco - Getafe | 1 | 1.96 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 20:00 |
| Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas | 1 | 1.85 | 1.04% | 06 Aug 21:30 |
| Gimpo FC - Chungbuk Cheongju | 1 | 1.76 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 12:30 |
| Wisla Krakow - Wisla Plock | 1 | 1.84 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 20:30 |
Pick
1 @ 1.85
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 45d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 21h ago