Model: TipTromba2H

Guria Lanchkhuti vs FC Merani Tbilisi

PREDICTION

@ 1.57

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 26, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultWIN5 - 0

StartStarted 44d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guria Lanchkhuti. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guria LanchkhutiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

7/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.55First seen

Current1.57Now

Max odds1.57Highest point

Min odds1.55Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Guria LanchkhutiHOME

FC Merani TbilisiAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

LDWLW

Avg goals scored

4.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.80

Shots on target for

7.20

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.80

Home splitW-W-W-W-W5.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-W1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.57. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Cup (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.57

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Guria Lanchkhuti showing a clearer performance edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Guria Lanchkhuti's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -8.1% 7D: -8.7% 15D: -5.8% 30D: -1.7%

Model insight

Guria Lanchkhuti – FC Merani Tbilisi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.57. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample486

Win Rate63.2%

Profit+7.04u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) - Resovia Rzeszow (W)	1.62	-3.38%
WIN	VJS Vantaa II - Tips Vantaa	1.65	-3.38%
WIN	Santa Ana - AD Carmelita	1.73	-3.38%
WIN	Young Boys II - Lugano II	1.62	-3.82%
WIN	Sigma Olomouc B - Slovacko II	1.53	-1.89%
WIN	Sao Jose SP - Santo Andre SP	1.50	-3.38%
WIN	Guanabara City U20 - Sao Luiz U20	1.67	-1.89%
WIN	Sporting Hasselt - Belisia Bilzen SV	1.53	-3.38%

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Pick

1 @ 1.57

Kickoff

Giu 26, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Started 44d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 9h ago