Hang Sai – Benfica Macau

Model: TipTromba4H

Hang Sai vs Benfica Macau

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 4
StartStarted 79d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 80d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hang Sai. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hang Sai

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.70First seen
Current4.02Now
Max odds4.02Highest point
Min odds3.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hang SaiHOME
VS
Benfica MacauAWAY
LDW
Recent form
WL
Avg goals scored
3.00
2.50
Defensive weakness
3.00
1.50
Shots on target for
5.67
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
5.00
Home splitL-D-W3.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-L2.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.70. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.06% based on n=273 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Macau 1st Division (mo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.70
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.06% · n=273
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.06% · n=273
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Hang Sai has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 6.2% 7D: -0.5% 15D: 16.7% 30D: 15.6%
Model insight

Hang Sai – Benfica Macau Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.06% and 5.06%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample41
Win Rate34.1%
Profit+10.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHYH Export Sebaco FC - Diriangen3.805.43%
WINLeatherhead - Dorking Wanderers3.755.43%
WINEast Kilbride - Dunfermline3.755.43%
WINVendsyssel FF - KFUM3.755.43%
LOSSFalu BS FK - Gefle IF3.805.43%
WINSteinkjer - Kvik Trondheim3.905.43%
LOSSLP Super Sport Sofia (W) - FK Paldin Plovdiv (W)3.755.43%
LOSSKolding IF (W) - Fortuna Hjørring (W)3.755.43%
Pick
1 @ 3.70
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.06% • n=273
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.06% • n=273
Start
Started 79d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 80d 12h ago
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