Hercules – UD Ibiza

Model: TipA1

Hercules vs UD Ibiza

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 6:15 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 84d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.83% · n=574
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.07% · n=218
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 85d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UD Ibiza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UD IbizaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.80First seen
Current2.70Now
Max odds3.10Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HerculesHOME
VS
UD IbizaAWAY
WWLWL
Recent form
LLWDL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
3.00
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
3.20
Home splitW-W-W-D1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-D0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.07% based on n=218 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.10
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.83% · n=574
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.07% · n=218
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. UD Ibiza has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -26.8% 7D: -19.4% 15D: -9.0% 30D: 7.5%
Model insight

Hercules – UD Ibiza Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.83% and 5.07%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample90
Win Rate34.4%
Profit+3.42u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINVizela - Celta Fortuna2.885.52%
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LOSSAl Sahel SC - Khaitan2.905.52%
WINGateshead - South Shields3.005.52%
WINTSV Steinbach - Sportfreunde Siegen3.105.52%
LOSSKarlovac - NK Krka2.905.52%
WINEast Bengal Club - Mohun Bagan SG3.005.52%
WINAurora - Guastatoya3.105.52%
Pick
2 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 6:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.83% • n=574
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.07% • n=218
Start
Started 84d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 85d 1h ago
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