Model: TipTromba3H
Hestrafors IF – Västra Frölunda IF
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 4
StartStarted 25d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.12% · n=251
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Hestrafors IF | Västra Frölunda IF |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-W-L | W-L-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-L (home) | W-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.33 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 4.40 against | 4.75 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 3.67 against (home) | 3.50 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds2.90Highest point
Min odds2.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Hestrafors IF – Västra Frölunda IF Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.12% across 251 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample45
Win Rate46.7%
Profit+13.58u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Azuriz FC - Blumenau EC | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Shandong (W) | 2.88 | 4.12% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
| LOSS | Orapa United - Centre Chiefs | 2.90 | 4.12% |
| WIN | Chitipa United - Civil Service Utd | 2.88 | 4.12% |
| LOSS | Encarnacion FC - Club Atlético Tembetary | 2.70 | 2.50% |
Pick
1 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.12% • n=251
Start
Started 25d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 23h ago