Model: TipTromba3H

Chitipa United vs Civil Service Utd

PREDICTION

@ 2.88

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 4:30 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 56d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.12% · n=251

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 57d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chitipa United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chitipa United

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.88First seen

Current2.93Now

Max odds2.93Highest point

Min odds2.88Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Chitipa UnitedHOME

Civil Service UtdAWAY

WLWL

Recent form

LWWD

Avg goals scored

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.75

Shots on target for

3.00

1.50

SoT conceded pressure

2.50

5.00

Home splitW-W1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitL-W0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.88. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.12% based on n=251 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Malawi Super League (mw). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.88

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.12% · n=251

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Chitipa United is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 20.7% 7D: 12.3% 15D: -1.5% 30D: -2.0%

Model insight

Chitipa United – Civil Service Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.88. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.12% across 251 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample72

Win Rate41.7%

Profit+11.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Moreland City SC - Springvale White Eagles	2.90	4.49%
WIN	Central Espanol Reserves - La Luz Reserves	2.80	4.49%
WIN	Ehime FC (W) - Okayama Yunogo Belle (W)	2.75	4.49%
LOSS	Assisense U23 - Matonense U23	2.90	4.49%
WIN	Polissya Zhytomyr - CSKA Sofia	2.75	4.49%
WIN	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Tai'an Tiankuang	2.80	4.49%
LOSS	Joy AC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W)	2.70	2.55%
LOSS	Auckland FC II - Western Springs AFC	2.75	4.49%

Pick

1 @ 2.88

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 4:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.12% • n=251

Start

Started 56d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 57d 10h ago